Friday, 8 April 2016

Does It Still Pay To Invest In Gold?

From gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to gold stocks to buying physical gold, investors now have several different options when it comes to investing in the royal metal. But what exactly is the purpose of gold? And why should investors even bother investing in the gold market? Indeed, these two questions have divided gold investors for the last several decades. One school of thought argues that gold is simply a barbaric relic that no longer holds the monitory qualities of the past. In a modern economic environment, where paper currency is the money of choice, gold's only benefit is the fact that it is a material that is used in jewelry.
On the other end of the spectrum is a school of thought that asserts gold is an asset with various intrinsic qualities that make it unique and necessary for investors to hold in their portfolios. In this article, we will focus on the purpose of gold in the modern era, why it still belongs in investors' portfolios and the different ways that a person can invest in the gold market. A Brief History on Gold
In order to fully understand the purpose of gold, one must look back at the start of the gold market. While gold's history began in 3000 B.C, when the ancient Egyptians started forming jewelry, it wasn't until 560 B.C. that gold started to act as a currency. At that time, merchants wanted to create a standardized and easily transferable form of money that would simplify trade. Because gold jewelry was already widely accepted and recognized throughout various corners of the earth, the creation of a gold coin stamped with a seal seemed to be the answer.

Following the advent of gold as money, gold's importance continued to grow. History has examples of gold's influence in various empires, like the Greek and Roman empires. Great Britain developed its own metals based currency in 1066. The British pound (symbolizing a pound of sterling silver), shillings and pence were all based on the amount of gold (or silver) that it represented. Eventually, gold symbolized wealth throughout Europe, Asia, Africa and the Americas.
The United States government continued on with this gold tradition by establishing a bimetallic standard in 1792. The bimetallic standard simply stated that every monetary unit in the United States had to be backed by either gold or silver. For example, one U.S. dollar was the equivalent of 24.75 grains of gold. In other words, the coins that were used as money simply represented the gold (or silver) that was presently deposited at the bank. (For more on this, read The Gold Standard Revisited.)
But this gold standard did not last forever. During the 1900s, there were several key events that eventually led to the transition of gold out of the monetary system. In 1913, the Federal Reserve was created and started issuing promissory notes (the present day version of our paper money) that guaranteed the notes could be redeemed in gold on demand. The Gold Reserve Act of 1934 gave the U.S. government title to all the gold coins in circulation and put an end to the minting of any new gold coins. In short, this act began establishing the idea that gold or gold coins were no longer necessary in serving as money. The United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971 when the U.S. currency ceased to be backed by gold.
The Importance of Gold In the Modern Economy
Given the fact that gold no longer backs the U.S. dollar (or other worldwide currencies for that matter) why is it still important today? The simple answer is that while gold is no longer in the forefront of everyday transactions, it is still important in the global economy. To validate this point, one need only to look as far as the reserve balance sheets of central banks and other financial organizations, such as the International Monetary Fund. Presently, these organizations are responsible for holding approximately one-fifth of the world's supply of above-ground gold
. In addition, several central banks have focused their efforts on adding to their present gold reserves.
Gold Preserves Wealth
The reasons for gold's importance in the modern economy centers on the fact that it has successfully preserved wealth throughout thousands of generations. The same, however, cannot be said about paper-denominated currencies. To put things into perspective, consider the following example.


Example - Gold, Cash and Inflation
In the early 1970s, one ounce of gold equaled $35. Let\'s say that at that time, you had a choice of either holding an ounce of gold or simply keeping the $35. Both would buy you the same things at that, like a brand new business suit, for example. If you had an ounce of gold today and converted it for today\'s prices, it would still be enough to buy a brand new suit. The same, however, could not be said for the $35. In short, you would have lost a substantial amount of your wealth if you decided to hold the $35 and you would have preserved it if you decided to hold on to the one ounce of gold because the value of gold has increased, while the value of a dollar has been eroded by inflation. (For more insight, read All About Inflation.)
Gold as a Hedge Against a Declining U.S. Dollar and Rising InflationThe idea that gold preserves wealth is even more important in an economic environment where investors are faced with a declining U.S. dollar and rising inflation (due to rising commodity prices). Historically, gold has served as a hedge against both of these scenarios. With rising inflation, gold typically appreciates. When investors realize that their money is losing value, they will start positioning their investments in a hard asset that has traditionally maintained its value. The 1970s present a prime example of rising gold prices in the midst of rising inflation. (For related reading, see What Is Wrong With Gold?)
The reason gold benefits from a declining U.S. dollar is because gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally. There are two reasons for this relationship. First, investors who are looking at buying gold (like central banks) must sell their U.S. dollars to make this transaction. This ultimately drives the U.S. dollar lower as global investors seek to diversify out of the dollar. The second reason has to do with the fact that a weakening dollar makes gold cheaper for investors who hold other currencies. This results in greater demand from investors who hold currencies that have appreciated relative to the U.S. dollar.
Gold as a Safe Haven
Whether it is the tensions in the Middle East, Africa or elsewhere, it is becoming increasingly obvious that political and economic uncertainty is another reality of our modern economic environment. For this reason, investors typically look at gold as a safe haven during times of political and economic uncertainty. Why is this? Well, history is full of collapsing empires, political coups, and the collapse of currencies. During such times, investors who held onto gold were able to successfully protect their wealth and, in some cases, even use gold to escape from all of the turmoil. Consequently, whenever there are news events that hint at some type of uncertainty, investors will often buy gold as a safe haven.

Gold as a Diversifying Investment
The sum of all the above reasons to own gold is that gold is a diversifying investment. Regardless of whether you are worried about inflation, a declining U.S. dollar, or even protecting your wealth, it is clear that gold has historically served as an investment that can add a diversifying component to your portfolio. At the end of the day, if your focus is simply diversification, gold is not correlated to stocks, bonds and real estate. (For more insight, read The Importance Of Diversification.)

Different Ways of Owning GoldOne of the main differences between investing in gold several hundred years ago and investing in gold today is that there are many more options to participating in the intrinsic qualities that gold offers. Today, investors can invest in gold by buying:
  • Gold Futures (For more on this investment type, see Trading Gold And Silver Futures Contracts.)
  • Gold Coins
  • Gold Companies
  • Gold ETFs
  • Gold Mutual Funds
  • Gold Bullion
  • Gold jewelry
Conclusion
There are advantages to every investment. If you are more concerned with holding the physical gold, buying shares in a gold mining company might not be the answer. Instead, you might want to consider investing in gold coins, gold bullion, or jewelry. If your primary interest is in using leverage to profit from rising gold prices, the futures market might be your answer. (For more, see A Holistic Approach To Trading Gold.)

Related Articles
  1. Retirement

    5 Myths That Could Hurt Your Retirement

    If you're making financial and lifestyle choices based on these retirement myths, you could be missing out on benefits that could give you a better future.

A beginner’s guide to investing in gold

Gold can be a very useful way to diversify your portfolio. It’s relatively rare, and its value often doesn’t move in line with other assets such as equities or property.

At MoneyWeek, we’ve said that gold provides insurance for your portfolio. Most people should probably allocate around 5%-15% of their portfolios to gold or gold-related investments.
So the follow-up question is: how should you invest in gold?

Investing in physical gold

Physical gold is worth holding because it’s a universal finite currency, held by most central banks.
In the same way that the family home should not be regarded as an investment, gold bullion is not an investment per se, rather a form of ‘saving for a rainy day’ or of financial insurance. You shouldn’t trade your gold. You wouldn’t trade an insurance policy, so don’t trade your gold.
Gold is a good way to ensure wealth preservation and for passing wealth from one generation to the next. Once you’ve got some gold bullion in your portfolio, then other investments such as mining shares, investment funds and other more speculative gold investments can be considered.

Modern bullion coins and bars

Modern bullion coins allow investors to own investment-grade gold legal tender coins at a small premium to the spot price of gold as quoted on the markets.
The value of bullion coins and bars is determined almost solely by the price of gold, and thus follows the bullion price.
Gold, silver, and platinum are all available in the form of bullion coins, minted in the UK, the US, in Canada, South Africa, Austria, Australia, China and other countries. Most bullion coins are minted in 1/10oz, 1/4oz, 1/2oz & 1oz form (and some can be bought in 2oz, 10oz & 1 kilo). However, one-ounce gold bullion coins such as Krugerrands or Britannias are by far the most popular for both small investors and high-net-worth individuals who see the advantages of owning legal tender bullion coins, either in their possession or in depositories, and recognise the advantages of the divisibility afforded by them.
Buying investment-grade gold bullion for investment is stamp-duty free and tax free (VAT exempt) in the UK and EU due to the EU Gold Directive of 2000.
For free and impartial information on where and how to buy gold bullion coins and bars, see MoneyWeek’s comparison of leading gold brokers.

Semi-numismatic and numismatic gold coins

Numismatic or older and rare coins are bought not solely for their precious metal content, but also for their rarity and their historical, aesthetic appeal. They are leveraged to the gold price, which means that the price of these coins will generally increase faster than the gold price in a bull market and will decrease by more when gold is in a bear market.
The British gold sovereign (originally the one pound coin) is the most widely traded and owned semi-numismatic gold coin in the world. It’s worth noting that British gold sovereigns are also exempt from capital gains tax (CGT).
For free and impartial information on where and how to buy gold bullion coins and bars, see MoneyWeek’s comparison of leading gold brokers.

Gold certificates

The Perth Mint Certificate Programme is the only government backed precious metal certificate programme in the world. It allows you to own investment grade gold which is stored in vaults in the Perth Mint of Western Australia.
The gold is stored in a government mint and insured by Lloyds of London.
That said, this is ‘unallocated gold’. That means that you don’t own actual gold, you own a promise from the Perth Mint to give you back your gold if you want it.  (With ‘allocated gold’, you are the legal owner of the gold, and the account provider is the custodian.)
There are no initial or ongoing shipping, insurance, holding or custodial fees and thus it is one of the most cost effective ways for investors to own bullion over the long term.
Most investors opt to own their bullion in unallocated accounts as there are no insurance or holding fees on them, and there is the flexibility of being able to transfer to an allocated account simply by paying small fabrication fees should the investor deem it necessary.

Allocated accounts

Allocated gold accounts allow an investor to buy gold coins and bars from a bullion brokerage which will transfer or ship the bullion to an individual’s account in a depository or bank. Allocated accounts involve ownership of specific gold and the owner has title to the individual coins or bars. Due diligence should be done on allocated gold account providers and the history, security, credit rating and net worth of the provider is of vital importance.
Two respected providers are Bullion Vault and Gold Money. They offer allocated accounts where gold can be instantly bought or sold. Every gold bar is audited and accounted for and it is considered a safe way to own bullion.

Digital gold currency or e-gold

Digital gold currency (DGC) – ‘goldgrammes’ or ‘e-gold’ – are also increasingly popular. There are no specific financial regulations governing DGC providers, so they operate under self-regulation. DGC providers are not banks and therefore do not need to comply with bank regulations, and there are concerns that there are unscrupulous operators operating in this emerging sector.
Digital gold is primarily used by clients to buy gold for saving or as an investment and/or as electronic money amongst users.

Investing in paper gold

Another approach is to invest in companies that either mine gold or are exploring for new gold deposits. Some companies are both miners and explorers.
If you’re going to invest in mining companies, it’s a good idea to diversify your investment across several companies. Investing in a miner is riskier than investing in gold itself.
You can also invest in gold via financial products such as options, futures and spread betting.
With all of these products, you’re betting on the future movements in the gold price. You don’t own any gold, and you don’t have the right to take possession of any gold.
All of these products give you the opportunity to ‘leverage’ your investment. In other words, you can borrow to boost the size of your bet. That will boost your profits if the gold price goes in the right direction, but it can also increase your losses if things go wrong. You could end up losing all of your original investment, or potentially a sum greater than your original investment.

Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs)

These are funds that track the price of gold.
Two of the more popular are the Streettracks Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD) and in London, ETF Securities’ Gold Bullion Securities (LSE:GBS). They can be bought through stockbrokers.
There is normally an annual administration fee of between 0.4% and 0.5%.
• This article was written by Mark O’Byrne, Head of Research at GoldCore.

What you need to know before you buy your first ounce of gold

Question. What kind of gold should I buy?
Answer. We probably get that question more than any other -- pretty much on a daily basis. The answer, however, is not as straightforward as you might think. What you buy depends upon your goals. We usually answer the "What should I buy?" question with one of our own: "Why are you interested in buying gold?" If your goal is simply to hedge financial uncertainty and/or capitalize on price movement, then contemporary bullion coins will serve your purposes. Those concerned with the possibility of capital controls and a gold seizure, or call-in, often include historic pre-1933 gold coins in the mix. Both categories carry modest premiums over their gold melt value, track the gold price, and enjoy strong liquidity internationally.
Q. When should I buy?
A. The short answer is 'When you need it.' Gold, first and foremost, is wealth insurance. You cannot approach it the way you approach stock or real estate investments. Timing is not the real issue. The first question you need to ask yourself is whether or not you believe you need to own gold. If you answer that question in the affirmative, there is no point in delaying your actual purchase, or waiting for a more favorable price which may or may not appear. Cost averaging can be a good strategy. The real goal is to diversify so that your overall wealth is not compromised by economic dangers and uncertainties like the kind generated by the 2008 financial crisis or the debt and currency problems now unfolding in emerging countries.
Q. Why not wait for the necessity to arise, then buy gold?
A. Over the past few years, as concern about a financial and economic breakdown spread, there were periods of gold coin bottlenecks and actual shortages. In 2008-2009 at the height of the financial crisis, demand was so great that the national mints could not keep up with it. The flow of historic gold coins from Europe was also insufficient to meet accelerating demand both there and in the United States. Premiums shot-up on all gold and silver coins and a scramble developed for what was available. There is an old saying that the best time to buy gold is when everything is quiet. I would underline that sentiment. As you can see from the chart immediately below, the demand for newly minted bullion gold coins shot up dramatically in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, reached a plateau and has remained stubbornly in place ever since. National mints have yet to release statistics for 2015, but when they do I would not be surprised to learn total sales internationally approached 2013 levels.
Q. Can you give us a profile of the typical gold investor?
A. Gold owners are a group of people I have come to know very well in my 40+ years in the business. Contrary to the less than flattering picture sometimes painted by the mainstream press, the people we have helped become gold owners are among those we rely upon most in our daily lives -- our physicians and dentists, nurses and teachers, plumbers, carpenters and building contractors, business owners, attorneys, engineers and university professors (to name a few.) In other words, gold ownership is pretty much a Main Street endeavor. A recent Gallup poll found that 34% of American investors rated gold the best investment "regardless of gender, age, income or party ID. . ." In that survey, investors rated gold higher than stocks, bonds, real estate and bank savings.
Q. What about high net worth investors?
A. Traditionally, wealthy, aristocratic European and Asian families have kept a strong percentage of their assets in gold as a protective factor. The long term economic picture for the United States has changed enormously over the past several years. As a result, that same philosophy has taken hold in the United States particularly among those interested in preserving their wealth both for themselves and for their families from one generation to the next. In recent years, we have helped a good many family trusts diversify with gold coins and bullion at the advice of their portfolio managers. Few people know that the United States is the third largest consumer market for gold after China and India.
Q. You frequently mention gold as insurance. What do you mean by that?
A. Gold's baseline, essential quality is its role as the only primary asset that is not someone else's liability. That separates gold from the majority of capital assets which in fact do rely on another's ability to pay, like bonds and bank savings, or the performance of the management, or some other delimiting factor, as is the case with stocks. The first chapter of my book, The ABCs of Gold Investing, ends with this: "No matter what happens in this country, with the dollar, with the stock and bond markets, the gold owner will find a friend in the yellow metal -- something to rely upon when the chips are down. In gold, investors will find a vehicle to protect their wealth. Gold is bedrock."
(Reader note: For a useful review of gold's role in preserving assets under various worst-case economic scenarios, please see Black Swans, Yellow Gold - How gold performs during periods of deflation, chronic disinflation, runaway stagflation and hyperinflation. OPEN ACCESS. )
Q. What percentage of my assets should I invest in gold?
A. Once again the answer is not cut and dry, but a general rule of thumb is 10% to 30%. How high you go between 10% and 30% depends upon how concerned you are about the current economic, financial and political situation. James Rickards, strategic investment analyst and author of the New York Times bestseller, Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, advocates a 20% gold diversification. "Gold," explains Rickards, "is not a commodity. Gold is not an investment. Gold is money par excellence."


A diversified approach to the precious metals' portfolio works best.
USAGOLD can help you achieve the right balance.
Q. In your book, you state: "Who you do business with is one of the most important aspects of gold investing." Why is that?
A. A solid, professional gold firm can go a long way in helping the investor shortcut the learning curve. A good gold firm can help you avoid some the problems and pitfalls encountered along the way, and provide some direction. It can help you in the beginning and through the course of your gold ownership both in making additions to your portfolio and liquidations. A solid companion piece to the interview you are now reading is How to Choose a Gold Firm offered on this website. It offers clear guidelines for newcomers and is well-worth the five or ten minutes it takes to read it.
Q. How can the average investor distinguish between the good gold firms and the bad?
A. First, and most important: Check the Better Business Bureau's profile on a company before you do business with it. Check not only its rating but the number of complaints lodged against it and how those complaints were handled. A consistent record of complaints can be a warning sign even if the company has managed to keep an A+ rating. This is a simple and straightforward step every first-time investor should take, but it is amazing how many ignore it. Second, choose a gold firm that has a solid track record. Ten years in business is good; fifteen years or more is even better. Third, choose a firm with a commitment to keeping you informed, i.e., one that is interested in answering your questions now and keeping you informed in the future. If a sales person gives you short shrift or hits you with a heavy sales pitch take it as a warning.
(Reader note: The Better Business Bureau began its Gold Star Certificate program in 2003 and USAGOLD has been a recipient of the award every year it has been issued – fourteen straight years without a complaint. The firm has been a member of the Bureau since 1986 and accredited every year since 1991 (the year it began its accreditation program) with an A+ rating. To see USAGOLD's full BBB report, please visit this link.)
Q. Can you briefly describe what you believe to be the biggest mistake investors make when starting out as gold owners?
Answer. The biggest trap investors fall into is buying a gold investment that bears little or no relationship to his or her objectives. Take safe-haven investors for example. That group makes up 90% of our clientele, and probably a good 75% of the current physical gold market. Most often the safe-haven investor simply wants to add gold coins to his or her portfolio mix, but too often this same investor ends up instead with a leveraged (financed) gold position, or a handful of exotic rare coins, or a position in an ETF that amounts to little more than a bet on the gold price. These have little to do with safe-haven investing, and most investors would be well served to avoid them.
Q. What about the high profile gold companies that advertise on talk radio and cable television?
A. The same vetting rules outlined earlier apply. Check them out. Too often investors make the mistake of believing that the gold firm that sponsors their favorite political commentator is also the best place to make their gold purchases. National media campaigns are expensive and those costs are usually covered in the prices paid by investors for their gold and silver coins. In some instances that mark-up can be twice the underlying metal value. Take care that you are not paying too much for your gold and that you are buying the gold items best suited to meeting your goals.
Q. What is your view of gold stocks?
Answer. Many of our clients own gold stocks and we believe they have a place in the portfolio. However, it should be emphasized that gold stocks are not a substitute for real gold ownership, that is, in its physical form as coins and bars. Instead, stocks should be viewed as an addition to the portfolio after one has truly diversified with gold coins and bullion. Gold stocks can actually act opposite the intent of the investor, as some justifiably disgruntled mine company shareholders learned in the recent past when their stocks failed to perform as the price rose. There is no such ambiguity involved in actual ownership of gold coins and bullion. When gold rises, they rise with it.
Q. What about gold futures contracts?
Answer. Futures contracts are generally considered one of the most speculative arenas in the investment marketplace. The investor's exposure to the market is leveraged and the moves both up and down are greatly exaggerated. Something like 9 out of 10 investors who enter the futures market come away losers. For someone looking to hedge his or her portfolio against economic and financial risk, this is a poor substitute for owning the metal itself.
Q. What about ETFs?
A. Since, for one reason or another, it is difficult to take delivery from any of the ETFs, they are generally viewed as a price bet and not actual ownership of the metal. Most gold investors want possession of their gold because they are buying as a hedge against an economic, financial or political disaster. When disaster strikes, it does not do you much good to have your gold stored in some distant facility by a third party. For this reason, over the past couple of years the trend even with hedge fund operators has been away from the ETFs. In 2011, ETF sales plummeted while purchases of physical coins and bullion for delivery skyrocketed.
Q. Please summarize -- What is the best approach for the safe-haven investor?
Answer. If you want to protect yourself against inflation, deflation, stock market weakness and potential currency problems -- in other words, if you want to hedge financial uncertainties, there is only one portfolio item that will serve you in all seasons and under most circumstances -- gold coins and bullion. Make sure you do your homework on the company with which you choose to do business, and make sure that the gold ownership vehicle you choose truly reflects your goals and aspirations.
Though this interview will help you start safely on the road to gold ownership, it is just an overview. If you would like more detailed information, I would recommend my book, The ABCs of Gold Investing: How to Protect and Build Your Wealth With Gold, which covers the who, what, when, where, why and how of gold ownership in detail. You can also shortcut the learning curve by contacting our offices and asking to speak with one of our expert client advisors who will be happy to answer your questions and help you get off to a solid start.

How to invest in gold

How to invest in gold

There are many ways to invest in gold. Different products can be used to achieve a variety of investment objectives.
Investors should consider the options available in their market, the form of investment that is appropriate to their circumstances, and the nature of professional advice they will require.
Investors can buy physical gold through coins or bars; they can buy products backed by physical gold, which offer direct exposure to the gold price; or they can buy other gold-linked products, which are directly related to the gold price but do not include ownership of gold.
In recent years, innovation has led to products that offer greater flexibility and accessibility to investors, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as well as additional risk management tools for sophisticated investors, including derivatives and structured products.
The various gold-related investment products have different risk and return profiles, liquidity characteristics and fees. Typically, an asset allocation strategy will consider long-term versus medium-term returns, and how gold investment products perform in positive or negative correlation with other assets.

Bars and coins

How to invest in gold - Bars and coins
Purchasing gold coins and bars, either to store personally, or to be held securely on one’s behalf by a bank or other financial intermediary.
Examples:
  • Coins
  • Collector coins
  • Gold bullion bars

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs)

How to invest in gold - Exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
Financial products physically backed with allocated gold bullion, listed on a stock exchange, and bought and sold in the form of shares.
Example:
  • (GLD®)

Gold accounts

How to invest in gold - Gold accounts
Gold bullion stored and managed by a bullion dealer or depository.
Examples:
  • Allocated gold accounts
  • Unallocated gold accounts
  • Gold accumulation plans

Other gold-linked products

How to invest in gold - Other gold-linked products
Indirect investments in gold, via financial instruments, without direct ownership of the metal.
Examples:
  •  Gold mining stocks
  •  Futures and options